UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
Las Vegas, USA
7 Oct 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
9%
Gonzalez
91%
Botelho
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
PG
Pearl Gonzalez
6 – 3
5'4"Orthodox39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 2
PB
Poliana Botelho
8 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'8"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Botelho

Botelho is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Botelho has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.

Botelho has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Gonzalez
Botelho
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'8"
Reach
67"
39
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gonzalez
Botelho
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.4
24.2
0.0
Performance Avg
39.1
0
Quality of Victory
37
0
Momentum Score
54
Gonzalez
Botelho
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
55%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
9
3
Body
14
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance7
3Clinch17
0Ground0
Gonzalez
Botelho
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gonzalez
Botelho
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/9 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Gonzalez
Botelho
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
54
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Gonzalez
Botelho
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gonzalez
Botelho
Striking0.0 / 4.2Volume0.0 / 6.2Grappling0.0 / 1.6Wrestling0.0 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Gonzalez
Strike Zones
Botelho
Gonzalez
Attacking
1HEAD3BODY7LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD14BODY1LEGS24 absorbed
Botelho
Attacking
9HEAD14BODY1LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD3BODY7LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gonzalez targets the legs (64% of attacks) — Botelho absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Botelho targets the body (58% of attacks) — Gonzalez absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gonzalez
RND
Botelho
0/0R00/0

Gonzalez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.0L5.5L2017-042017-10
WinLossTrend

Botelho · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W6.7L6.1L2.7L2017-102018-112020-102022-06
WinLossTrend

Gonzalez · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Poliana BotelhoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
L · Sub · R3
Cynthia CalvilloRating 4
Submission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04

Botelho · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Karine SilvaRating 2.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Luana CarolinaRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Lauren MuellerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
L · Sub · R1
Cynthia CalvilloRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11

News & Media

Pearl Gonzalez · Poliana Botelho
← Back to fights