★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
11 Jul 2020
Bantamweight
VS
59%
Yan
41%
Aldo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 5 · 3:24
Petr
Petr Yan
"No Mercy"
20 – 5
5'7"67" reachSwitch33 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 65
Jose
Jose Aldo
32 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Yan

This is a genuine toss-up — Yan at 59% vs Aldo at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Yan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Aldo has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Yan
Aldo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+70"
33+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Yan
Aldo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.1
44.5
56.4
Performance Avg
53.6
44
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
40
Yan
Aldo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.9
57%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
59
Head
0
3
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
59Ground0
Yan
Aldo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Yan
Aldo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
2
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/25 fights
Chin rating based on
23/42 fights
Yan
Aldo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
40
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Yan
Aldo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
29%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Yan
Aldo
Striking4.8 / 4.1Volume6.8 / 6.9Grappling1.6 / 1.7Wrestling1.1 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Yan
Strike Zones
Aldo
Yan
Attacking
59HEAD3BODY0LEGS62 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Aldo
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
59HEAD3BODY0LEGS62 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Yan targets the head (95% of attacks) — Aldo absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Aldo targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Yan absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Yan
RND
Aldo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Yan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W4.5W5.4W4.5W4.5W5.5W6.0W6.1L6.0W6.5L7.0L6.8L5.8W5.6W6.2W5.8W2018-062019-062021-102024-032025-12
WinLossTrend

Aldo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.9W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W3.8L3.8L5.5W6.0W7.0L5.5L5.5L5.3W5.0W5.7W6.8L5.0W6.6L6.6L2011-042014-102019-022021-122025-05
WinLossTrend

Yan · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R5
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03

Aldo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12

News & Media

Petr Yan · Jose Aldo
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