UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
Adelaide, Australia
9 May 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Perosh
47%
O'Connell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:56
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Perosh
This is a genuine toss-up — Perosh at 53% vs O'Connell at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
O'Connell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Perosh's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
O'Connell has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Perosh
O'Connell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
75"+
Reach
74"
53
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Perosh
O'Connell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
15.6
50.0
Performance Avg
44.4
56
Quality of Victory
55
46
Momentum Score
26
Perosh
O'Connell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
18
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance9
0Clinch11
0Ground0
Perosh
O'Connell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Perosh
O'Connell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Perosh
O'Connell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Perosh
O'Connell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Perosh
O'Connell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
PeroshO'Connell
Strike Zones
Perosh
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedO'Connell
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Perosh targets the head (100% of attacks) — O'Connell absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯O'Connell targets the head (90% of attacks) — Perosh absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Perosh
RND
O'Connell
0/0R00/0
Perosh · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
O'Connell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Perosh · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Gian VillanteRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · KO · R1
Sean O'ConnellRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
W · Sub · R1
Guto InocenteRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
W · KO · R1
Vinny MagalhaesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
O'Connell · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Corey AndersonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Steve BosseRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · KO · R1
Ilir LatifiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Anthony PeroshRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
W · KO · R3
Matt Van BurenRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01