UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2025
Welterweight
VS
37%
Magny
63%
Amosov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:14
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Amosov
Amosov holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Magny has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Amosov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Striking split: Amosov throws more volume but Magny connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Magny's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Magny
Amosov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
80"+
Reach
75"
38
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magny
Amosov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.5
79.2
47.4
Performance Avg
71.0
36
Quality of Victory
52
75
Momentum Score
100
Magny
Amosov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
2
Body
0
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
5Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Magny
Amosov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magny
Amosov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/46 fights
Chin rating based on
2/31 fights
Magny
Amosov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Magny
Amosov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
14
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magny
Amosov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
10.0
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
MagnyAmosov
Strike Zones
Magny
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedAmosov
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magny targets the head (40% of attacks) — Amosov absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Amosov targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magny
RND
Amosov
0/0R00/0
Magny · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Amosov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Magny · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
Amosov · Last 2
W · Sub · R2
Joel AlvarezRating 6.5Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Sub · R1
Neil MagnyRating 5.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12