UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
30 May 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
84%
Hill
16%
Abreu
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hill
Hill is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hill has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Hill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hill's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hill
Abreu
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
74"
35
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hill
Abreu
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.4
11.3
54.2
Performance Avg
28.3
50
Quality of Victory
25
92
Momentum Score
33
Hill
Abreu
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.6
51%
Strike Accuracy
30%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
4
Body
1
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
9Distance4
2Clinch1
3Ground0
Hill
Abreu
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hill
Abreu
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Hill
Abreu
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hill
Abreu
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hill
Abreu
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
HillAbreu
Strike Zones
Hill
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedAbreu
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hill targets the head (64% of attacks) — Abreu absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Abreu targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hill
RND
Abreu
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Abreu · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Hill · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Dec · R5
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · KO · R4
Thiago SantosRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
Abreu · Last 4
Upcoming
Jamahal HillUFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Shamil GamzatovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02