UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
Milwaukee, USA
14 Aug 2011
Bantamweight
VS
36%
Benavidez
64%
Wineland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Wineland
Wineland holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Benavidez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Wineland has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Wineland throws more volume but Benavidez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Benavidez's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Wineland has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Benavidez
Wineland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+69"
41
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Benavidez
Wineland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
28.2
51.4
Performance Avg
45.0
38
Quality of Victory
50
40
Momentum Score
78
Benavidez
Wineland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.8
37%
Strike Accuracy
32%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
2
2
Body
2
9
Leg
2
RangeRange
21Distance6
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Benavidez
Wineland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Benavidez
Wineland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/36 fights
Chin rating based on
16/40 fights
Benavidez
Wineland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
78
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Benavidez
Wineland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
83%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Benavidez
Wineland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
BenavidezWineland
Strike Zones
Benavidez
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedWineland
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Benavidez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Wineland absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Wineland targets the head (33% of attacks) — Benavidez absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Benavidez
RND
Wineland
0/0R00/0
Benavidez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Wineland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Benavidez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Askar AskarovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R1
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · KO · R2
Jussier FormigaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Dustin OrtizRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
Wineland · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cody StamannRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
John CastanedaRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Sean O'MalleyRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · KO · R2
Grigory PopovRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07