UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal
Las Vegas, USA
19 Dec 2020
Middleweight
VS
46%
Nchukwi
54%
Pickett
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TN
Tafon Nchukwi
"Da Don"
6 – 4
6'0"77" reachOrthodox31 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
Jamie
Jamie Pickett
"The Night Wolf"
13 – 11
Well-Rounded5-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'2"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pickett

This is a genuine toss-up — Nchukwi at 46% vs Pickett at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Nchukwi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Nchukwi's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pickett has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Nchukwi
Pickett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
77"
Reach
+80"
31+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nchukwi
Pickett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
24.1
28.3
Performance Avg
23.9
25
Quality of Victory
25
25
Momentum Score
45
Nchukwi
Pickett
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
58%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
6
14
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
23Distance6
17Clinch0
4Ground0
Nchukwi
Pickett
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nchukwi
Pickett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
26
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/10 fights
Chin rating based on
9/24 fights
Nchukwi
Pickett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Nchukwi
Pickett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nchukwi
Pickett
Striking0.7 / 0.4Volume8.7 / 8.4Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 0.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.7
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
Nchukwi
Strike Zones
Pickett
Nchukwi
Attacking
29HEAD14BODY1LEGS44 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Pickett
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD14BODY1LEGS44 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nchukwi targets the head (66% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Pickett targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nchukwi absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nchukwi
RND
Pickett
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nchukwi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W6.6L4.5W5.9L3.4L5.5L2020-122021-052021-092022-032022-062023-08
WinLossTrend

Pickett · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.5L1.5L4.5W4.5W2.1L2.8L3.2L5.5L6.3L2020-122022-012023-032024-03
WinLossTrend

Nchukwi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
AJ DobsonRating 5.5
Decision
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L · KO · R1
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KO/TKO
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L · KO · R3
Azamat MurzakanovRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05

Pickett · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Josh FremdRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Sub · R1
Bo NickalRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Denis TiuliulinRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Sub · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1
Submission
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News & Media

Tafon Nchukwi · Jamie Pickett
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