METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker
Sioux Falls, USA
13 Jul 2016
Heavyweight
VS
64%
Oleinik
36%
Omielanczuk
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Daniel OmielanczukwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Aleksei Oleinik · UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oleinik
→
Actual result
Omielanczuk wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Oleinik holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Omielanczuk has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oleinik has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Oleinik throws more volume but Omielanczuk connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Oleinik's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OleinikOmielanczuk
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Oleinik
Omielanczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
80"+
Reach
74"
49
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Oleinik
Omielanczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.5
15.0
52.0
Performance Avg
41.8
51
Quality of Victory
40
39
Momentum Score
30
Oleinik
Omielanczuk
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
0.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
61%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
5
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Oleinik
Omielanczuk
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
6.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
4.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oleinik
Omielanczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
80
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/77 fights
Chin rating based on
9/27 fights
Oleinik
Omielanczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
30
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Oleinik
Omielanczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
7
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oleinik
Omielanczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
6.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
4.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
7.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
OleinikOmielanczuk
Strike Zones
Oleinik
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedOmielanczuk
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Omielanczuk targets the head (100% of attacks) — Oleinik absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oleinik
RND
Omielanczuk
0/0R00/0
Oleinik · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Omielanczuk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Oleinik · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jared VanderaaRating 5Submission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
Omielanczuk · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Curtis BlaydesRating 6.4Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Timothy JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Sub · R2
Stefan StruveRating 2.8Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Jarjis DanhoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02