UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
12 Sept 2020
Women's Strawweight
VS
42%
Waterson-Gomez
58%
Hill
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
"The Karate Hottie"
18 – 13
5'3"62" reachOrthodox40 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hill
This is a genuine toss-up — Waterson-Gomez at 42% vs Hill at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Waterson-Gomez's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hill has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Waterson-Gomez
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
5'3"
62"
Reach
+64"
40+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Waterson-Gomez
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.5
36.2
36.8
Performance Avg
36.7
35
Quality of Victory
31
0
Momentum Score
40
Waterson-Gomez
Hill
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.9
50%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
26
14
Body
12
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
35Distance29
2Clinch10
0Ground0
Waterson-Gomez
Hill
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Waterson-Gomez
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
48
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/31 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Waterson-Gomez
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
40
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Waterson-Gomez
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
15%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Waterson-Gomez
Hill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Waterson-GomezHill
Strike Zones
Waterson-Gomez
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedHill
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Waterson-Gomez targets the head (51% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 51% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the head (67% of attacks) — Waterson-Gomez absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Waterson-Gomez
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
Waterson-Gomez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Waterson-Gomez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Hill · Last 5
Upcoming
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