METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
13 Nov 2021
Heavyweight
VS
41%
Rothwell
59%
Lima
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:32
★ Official Result
Marcos Rogerio de LimawinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:32
def. Ben Rothwell · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lima
→
Actual result
Lima wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rothwell at 41% vs Lima at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Rothwell's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lima has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RothwellLima
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rothwell
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
75"
44
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rothwell
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.0
39.4
49.7
Performance Avg
53.8
48
Quality of Victory
49
45
Momentum Score
59
Rothwell
Lima
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.5
/ 10
6.7
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
6.9
2.8
Style: Volume
3.4
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
11
0
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Rothwell
Lima
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rothwell
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
16
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/53 fights
Chin rating based on
18/32 fights
Rothwell
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
59
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Rothwell
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
73%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rothwell
Lima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
RothwellLima
Strike Zones
Rothwell
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedLima
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rothwell targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the head (79% of attacks) — Rothwell absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rothwell
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0
Rothwell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
W · Sub · R2
Chris BarnettSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · KO · R2
Stefan StruveKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
Lima · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Junior TafaKO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisKO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · Sub · R1
Andrei ArlovskiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05