UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares
Austin, USA
15 Sept 2010
Lightweight
VS
74%
Miller
26%
Tibau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jim
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39 – 19
5'8"71" reachSouthpaw42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
GT
Gleison Tibau
33 – 14
Well-Rounded4-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'10"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Miller

Miller is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Miller has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tibau has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Miller
Tibau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
42
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Miller
Tibau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
15.4
51.5
Performance Avg
43.2
45
Quality of Victory
34
28
Momentum Score
74
Miller
Tibau
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
35%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
10
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance8
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Miller
Tibau
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Tibau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
28/47 fights
Miller
Tibau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
74
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Miller
Tibau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
31%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
14
Submission Wins
4
8
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miller
Tibau
Striking3.4 / 1.8Volume3.5 / 6.6Grappling4.7 / 3.6Wrestling3.3 / 2.5Submission5.0 / 2.5Pressure6.8 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Miller
Strike Zones
Tibau
Miller
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Tibau
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (67% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Tibau targets the head (100% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Miller
RND
Tibau
0/0R00/0

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.4W5.5W5.5L5.0W2.1L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.1L6.5L4.5W3.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L5.5L2.4L5.0W2.9L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.2W5.7L6.2L5.2W5.9W5.2W6.4L5.0W5.7W6.2L5.3W6.3L5.4W2008-102012-052017-022021-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Tibau · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.9L4.5W5.2W4.7W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.0L4.0L3.5L5.5L2006-112009-042011-112014-072018-06
WinLossTrend

Miller · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01

Tibau · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · R1
Abel TrujilloRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 2
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

News & Media

Jim Miller · Gleison Tibau
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