UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Oct 2024
Middleweight
VS
68%
Magomedov
32%
Petrosyan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:52
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Magomedov
Magomedov holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Petrosyan has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Magomedov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Petrosyan throws more volume but Magomedov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Petrosyan has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Magomedov
Petrosyan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
73"+
Reach
71"
32+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magomedov
Petrosyan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.2
30.3
54.9
Performance Avg
32.1
36
Quality of Victory
25
99
Momentum Score
30
Magomedov
Petrosyan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.5
68%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
8
16
Body
5
4
Leg
18
RangeRange
32Distance31
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Magomedov
Petrosyan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magomedov
Petrosyan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Magomedov
Petrosyan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
30
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Magomedov
Petrosyan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magomedov
Petrosyan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
MagomedovPetrosyan
Strike Zones
Magomedov
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedPetrosyan
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magomedov targets the body (50% of attacks) — Petrosyan absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Petrosyan targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Magomedov absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magomedov
RND
Petrosyan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Magomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Petrosyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Magomedov · Last 5
Upcoming
Michel PereiraUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
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UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Michal OleksiejczukRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
Petrosyan · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Brunno FerreiraRating 4.3Submission
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L · KO · R2
Shara MagomedovRating 4.2KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Rodolfo VieiraRating 2.8Submission
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