METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Edmonton, Canada
27 Jul 2019
Featherweight
VS
94%
Dawodu
6%
Horie
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:09
★ Official Result
Hakeem DawoduwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:09
def. Yoshinori Horie · UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dawodu
→
Actual result
Dawodu wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Dawodu is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dawodu has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Dawodu has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DawoduHorie
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dawodu
Horie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
70"
35
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dawodu
Horie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
2.2
41.5
Performance Avg
0.0
29
Quality of Victory
0
80
Momentum Score
0
Dawodu
Horie
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
1.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
12
13
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance11
33Clinch4
0Ground0
Dawodu
Horie
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dawodu
Horie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
1/10 fights
Dawodu
Horie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
Dawodu
Horie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dawodu
Horie
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DawoduHorie
Strike Zones
Dawodu
Attacking
44 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedHorie
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
44 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dawodu targets the head (68% of attacks) — Horie absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Horie targets the head (80% of attacks) — Dawodu absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dawodu
RND
Horie
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dawodu · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Dawodu · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Julian ErosaRating 5.7Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Michael TrizanoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Zubaira TukhugovRating 5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
Horie · Last 1
L · KO · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07