UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Edmonton, Canada
27 Jul 2019
Featherweight
VS
94%
Dawodu
6%
Horie
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:09
HD
Hakeem Dawodu
"Mean"
13 – 4
5'8"73" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 37
YH
Yoshinori Horie
8 – 2
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dawodu

Dawodu is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Dawodu has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Dawodu has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Dawodu
Horie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
70"
34
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dawodu
Horie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
2.2
41.5
Performance Avg
0.0
29
Quality of Victory
0
80
Momentum Score
0
Dawodu
Horie
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
12
13
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance11
33Clinch4
0Ground0
Dawodu
Horie
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dawodu
Horie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
1/10 fights
Dawodu
Horie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
Dawodu
Horie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dawodu
Horie
Striking2.9 / 0.0Volume7.9 / 0.0Grappling2.0 / 0.0Wrestling1.4 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Dawodu
Strike Zones
Horie
Dawodu
Attacking
30HEAD13BODY1LEGS44 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD3BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Horie
Attacking
12HEAD3BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
30HEAD13BODY1LEGS44 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dawodu targets the head (68% of attacks) — Horie absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Horie targets the head (80% of attacks) — Dawodu absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dawodu
RND
Horie
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Dawodu · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0101.5L4.5W4.5W5.5W5.2W5.0W6.8L4.5W5.7L6.0L2018-032019-072021-062023-08
WinLossTrend

Dawodu · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Julian ErosaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Michael TrizanoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Zubaira TukhugovRating 5
Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09

Horie · Last 1

L · KO · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07

News & Media

Hakeem Dawodu · Yoshinori Horie
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