UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
Porto Alegre, Brazil
22 Feb 2015
Bantamweight
VS
49%
Andrade
51%
Gibson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gibson
This is a genuine toss-up — Andrade at 49% vs Gibson at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Andrade throws more volume but Gibson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Andrade's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gibson has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Andrade
Gibson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+71"
40
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Gibson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.4
39.9
42.2
Performance Avg
39.8
37
Quality of Victory
46
28
Momentum Score
25
Andrade
Gibson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
39%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
2
Body
0
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Andrade
Gibson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrade
Gibson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/36 fights
Chin rating based on
10/34 fights
Andrade
Gibson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Andrade
Gibson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrade
Gibson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
AndradeGibson
Strike Zones
Andrade
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedGibson
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gibson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Gibson targets the head (82% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrade
RND
Gibson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Gibson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Andrade · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Javier ReyesRating 3.9KO/TKO
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