UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
San Jose, USA
19 Nov 2011
Bantamweight
VS
43%
Torres
57%
Pace
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pace
This is a genuine toss-up — Torres at 43% vs Pace at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pace has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Torres has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Torres
Pace
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
76"+
Reach
68"
45
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Torres
Pace
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.2
17.5
35.0
Performance Avg
40.3
25
Quality of Victory
45
50
Momentum Score
43
Torres
Pace
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.7
40%
Strike Accuracy
30%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
3
8
Body
5
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance5
4Clinch3
0Ground0
Torres
Pace
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Torres
Pace
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/53 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Torres
Pace
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Torres
Pace
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Torres
Pace
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
TorresPace
Strike Zones
Torres
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedPace
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Torres targets the head (55% of attacks) — Pace absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Pace targets the body (63% of attacks) — Torres absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Torres
RND
Pace
0/0R00/0
Torres · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Pace · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Torres · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Michael McDonaldRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
W · Dec · R3
Nick PaceRating 4.5Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · Dec · R3
Demetrious JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
W · Dec · R3
Antonio BanuelosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
Pace · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Miguel TorresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · Dec · R3
Ivan MenjivarRating 5.5Decision
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · Sub · R3
Will CampuzanoRating 5.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12