UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
Oakland, USA
7 Aug 2010
Welterweight
VS
56%
Hughes
44%
Almeida
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hughes
This is a genuine toss-up — Hughes at 56% vs Almeida at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Hughes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Hughes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hughes's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Almeida has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hughes
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
52
Age
+49
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Hughes
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.0
18.0
64.6
Performance Avg
45.1
60
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
72
Hughes
Almeida
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.8
56%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
0
Body
2
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance9
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Hughes
Almeida
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hughes
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/54 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Hughes
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Hughes
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
61%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hughes
Almeida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
HughesAlmeida
Strike Zones
Hughes
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedAlmeida
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hughes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Almeida targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hughes absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hughes
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hughes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Hughes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Josh KoscheckRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
L · KO · R1
BJ PennRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
W · Sub · R1
Ricardo AlmeidaRating 5Submission
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
W · KO · R3
Renzo GracieRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
Almeida · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mike PyleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
W · Dec · R3
TJ GrantRating 4.5Decision
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Sub · R1
Matt HughesRating 1.5Submission
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Kendall GroveRating 4.5Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08