UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo
Las Vegas, USA
13 Jun 2020
Lightweight
VS
64%
Rosa
36%
Aguilar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CR
Charles Rosa
"Boston Strong"
14 – 8
5'9"69" reachSwitch39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
KA
Kevin Aguilar
"Angel of Death"
17 – 5
Well-Rounded4-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'7"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rosa

Rosa holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Aguilar has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Aguilar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rosa's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rosa
Aguilar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
+73"
39
Age
+37
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Rosa
Aguilar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
10.8
36.3
Performance Avg
28.3
35
Quality of Victory
25
20
Momentum Score
35
Rosa
Aguilar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.6
36%
Strike Accuracy
36%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
13
4
Body
8
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
27Distance22
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Rosa
Aguilar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rosa
Aguilar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
6/22 fights
Rosa
Aguilar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Rosa
Aguilar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rosa
Aguilar
Striking0.8 / 0.7Volume5.6 / 8.7Grappling4.6 / 2.4Wrestling3.3 / 1.7Submission4.0 / 0.0Pressure4.0 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Rosa
Strike Zones
Aguilar
Rosa
Attacking
18HEAD4BODY5LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD8BODY1LEGS22 absorbed
Aguilar
Attacking
13HEAD8BODY1LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD4BODY5LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the head (67% of attacks) — Aguilar absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Aguilar targets the head (59% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rosa
RND
Aguilar
0/0R00/0

Rosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5W7.1L4.5W4.0L5.0W6.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.8L5.5L6.3L2014-102017-042021-022022-07
WinLossTrend

Aguilar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.6W4.5W6.2L2.0L5.5L5.5L2018-112019-032019-062020-022020-062021-05
WinLossTrend

Rosa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
L · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Justin JaynesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Darrick MinnerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02

Aguilar · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tucker LutzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Zubaira TukhugovRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Enrique BarzolaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03

News & Media

Charles Rosa · Kevin Aguilar
← Back to fights