UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Hamburg, Germany
22 Jul 2018
Bantamweight
VS
70%
Grant
30%
Bermudez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:59
MB
Manny Bermudez
"The Bermudez Triangle"
14 – 2
Submission Hunter2-fight slide31 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Grant
Grant is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bermudez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Bermudez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Grant's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grant
Bermudez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+71"
40
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grant
Bermudez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
22.4
44.2
Performance Avg
55.5
36
Quality of Victory
53
85
Momentum Score
72
Grant
Bermudez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
61%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Grant
Bermudez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Grant
Bermudez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Grant
Bermudez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
72
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Grant
Bermudez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grant
Bermudez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
GrantBermudez
Strike Zones
Grant
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedBermudez
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grant targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Bermudez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grant
RND
Bermudez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Grant · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Bermudez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Grant · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Adrian Luna MartinettiRating 4.5Decision
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L · Sub · R1
Charles JourdainRating 2.3Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Ramon TaverasRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
Bermudez · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Charles RosaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R1
Benito LopezRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Sub · R1
Davey GrantRating 5.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Sub · R2
Albert MoralesRating 5.2Submission
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