METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Hamburg, Germany
22 Jul 2018
Bantamweight
VS
70%
Grant
30%
Bermudez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:59
MB
Manny Bermudez
"The Bermudez Triangle"
14 – 2
Submission Hunter2-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 22
★ Official Result
Manny BermudezwinsSubmissionR1 · 0:59
def. Davey Grant · UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Grant
→
Actual result
Bermudez wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Grant is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bermudez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Grant's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GrantBermudez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Grant
Bermudez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+71"
40
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grant
Bermudez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
22.4
44.2
Performance Avg
55.5
36
Quality of Victory
53
85
Momentum Score
72
Grant
Bermudez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
8.8
5.6
Style: Volume
1.2
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Grant
Bermudez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grant
Bermudez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Grant
Bermudez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
72
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Grant
Bermudez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grant
Bermudez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
GrantBermudez
Strike Zones
Grant
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedBermudez
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grant targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Bermudez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grant
RND
Bermudez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Grant · Last 5
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L · Sub · R1
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UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Sub · R2
Albert MoralesSubmission
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