UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
Tampa, USA
16 Apr 2016
Welterweight
VS
46%
McGee
54%
Ponzinibbio
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ponzinibbio
This is a genuine toss-up — McGee at 46% vs Ponzinibbio at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ponzinibbio has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
McGee's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ponzinibbio has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
McGee
Ponzinibbio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"+
Reach
73"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McGee
Ponzinibbio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
45.7
40.1
Performance Avg
50.5
36
Quality of Victory
44
50
Momentum Score
46
McGee
Ponzinibbio
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
34
4
Body
0
5
Leg
4
RangeRange
34Distance31
1Clinch4
0Ground3
McGee
Ponzinibbio
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McGee
Ponzinibbio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
4
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
20/40 fights
McGee
Ponzinibbio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
46
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
McGee
Ponzinibbio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
58%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
3
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McGee
Ponzinibbio
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
McGeePonzinibbio
Strike Zones
McGee
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedPonzinibbio
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McGee targets the head (74% of attacks) — Ponzinibbio absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Ponzinibbio targets the head (89% of attacks) — McGee absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McGee
RND
Ponzinibbio
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
McGee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Ponzinibbio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
McGee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
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W · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 5.1Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Matt BrownRating 1.9KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Jeremiah WellsRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
Ponzinibbio · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R3
Kevin HollandRating 4.6KO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5KO/TKO
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