UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba
Las Vegas, USA
19 Nov 2022
Heavyweight
VS
31%
Sherman
69%
Acosta
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Acosta
Acosta holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Sherman has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Acosta throws more volume but Sherman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sherman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sherman
Acosta
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
78"
Reach
78"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sherman
Acosta
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.1
65.8
38.4
Performance Avg
55.7
46
Quality of Victory
42
46
Momentum Score
100
Sherman
Acosta
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
2.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
50%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
39
6
Body
6
10
Leg
2
RangeRange
27Distance47
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sherman
Acosta
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.6
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sherman
Acosta
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Sherman
Acosta
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Sherman
Acosta
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sherman
Acosta
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
ShermanAcosta
Strike Zones
Sherman
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedAcosta
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sherman targets the head (41% of attacks) — Acosta absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Acosta targets the head (83% of attacks) — Sherman absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sherman
RND
Acosta
0/0R00/0
Sherman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Acosta · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Sherman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · KO · R3
Jared VanderaaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovRating 2.3Submission
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L · Sub · R1
Jake CollierRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Acosta · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8Decision
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W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Shamil GazievRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 6KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7Decision
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