The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
83%
Walsh
17%
Spohn
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Walsh
Walsh is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Walsh has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Spohn has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Walsh
Spohn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'4"
Reach
79"
37+
Age
41
—
Stance
Southpaw
Walsh
Spohn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
2.7
35.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
46
Momentum Score
0
Walsh
Spohn
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
0.9
11%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
13
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance8
0Clinch5
2Ground1
Walsh
Spohn
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Walsh
Spohn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/13 fights
Chin rating based on
1/21 fights
Walsh
Spohn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
0
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Walsh
Spohn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Walsh
Spohn
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
WalshSpohn
Strike Zones
Walsh
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedSpohn
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Walsh targets the head (100% of attacks) — Spohn absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Spohn targets the head (93% of attacks) — Walsh absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Walsh
RND
Spohn
0/0R00/0
Walsh · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Walsh · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Daniel SpohnRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
Spohn · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Patrick WalshRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07