UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
Jaragua do Sul, Brazil
18 May 2013
Light Heavyweight
VS
87%
Maldonado
13%
Hollett
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Maldonado
Maldonado is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Maldonado has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.
Maldonado has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Maldonado's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Maldonado
Hollett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
46+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Maldonado
Hollett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
2.7
39.8
Performance Avg
0.0
36
Quality of Victory
0
81
Momentum Score
0
Maldonado
Hollett
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
0.4
63%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
4
29
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance0
37Clinch7
8Ground0
Maldonado
Hollett
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maldonado
Hollett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/34 fights
Chin rating based on
2/18 fights
Maldonado
Hollett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Maldonado
Hollett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maldonado
Hollett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MaldonadoHollett
Strike Zones
Maldonado
Attacking
57 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedHollett
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
57 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maldonado targets the body (51% of attacks) — Hollett absorbs 51% of strikes there
🎯Hollett targets the head (57% of attacks) — Maldonado absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maldonado
RND
Hollett
0/0R00/0
Maldonado · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Hollett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Maldonado · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · KO · R2
Hans StringerRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
Hollett · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09