UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
Halifax, Canada
19 Feb 2017
Featherweight
VS
33%
Sicilia
67%
Tucker
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SS
Sam Sicilia
15 – 8
5'8"67" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideStriker
CFR 16
GT
Gavin Tucker
"Guv'nor"
13 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsSouthpaw66" reach5'6"
CFR 32

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tucker

Tucker holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Sicilia has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sicilia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Sicilia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sicilia's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tucker has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Sicilia
Tucker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
67"+
Reach
66"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Sicilia
Tucker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
32.1
43.7
Performance Avg
43.9
45
Quality of Victory
35
59
Momentum Score
33
Sicilia
Tucker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.6
40%
Strike Accuracy
36%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
10
0
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance14
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Sicilia
Tucker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sicilia
Tucker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Sicilia
Tucker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
Sicilia
Tucker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sicilia
Tucker
Striking6.8 / 1.1Volume4.0 / 5.1Grappling1.0 / 5.2Wrestling0.7 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure5.5 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Sicilia
Strike Zones
Tucker
Sicilia
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD5BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Tucker
Attacking
10HEAD5BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sicilia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Tucker absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Tucker targets the head (67% of attacks) — Sicilia absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sicilia
RND
Tucker
0/0R00/0

Sicilia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.2W2.8L5.5L5.0W2.8L4.5W2.8L5.0W4.5W3.3L2.9L5.5L2012-062013-112014-092015-112017-02
WinLossTrend

Tucker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W5.6L5.7W5.5W5.7W2.2L2.8L2017-022019-072020-122023-08
WinLossTrend

Sicilia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gavin TuckerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Sub · R2
Gabriel BenitezRating 2.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Dooho ChoiRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Yaotzin MezaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Akira CorassaniRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

Tucker · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Diego LopesRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Dan IgeRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
W · Sub · R3
Justin JaynesRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Sub · R3
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.7
Submission
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07

News & Media

Sam Sicilia · Gavin Tucker
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