UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou
Duluth, USA
15 Jan 2014
Lightweight
VS
95%
Pichel
5%
Whiteley
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pichel
Pichel is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pichel has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Striking split: Whiteley throws more volume but Pichel connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pichel's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pichel
Whiteley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
72"
43+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pichel
Whiteley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.5
2.1
41.3
Performance Avg
0.0
30
Quality of Victory
0
40
Momentum Score
0
Pichel
Whiteley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
46%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
6
Body
2
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
1Distance2
8Clinch7
7Ground2
Pichel
Whiteley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pichel
Whiteley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/10 fights
Pichel
Whiteley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Pichel
Whiteley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pichel
Whiteley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PichelWhiteley
Strike Zones
Pichel
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedWhiteley
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pichel targets the body (38% of attacks) — Whiteley absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Whiteley targets the head (55% of attacks) — Pichel absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pichel
RND
Whiteley
0/0R00/0
Pichel · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Whiteley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Pichel · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3Decision
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Mark MadsenRating 5.7Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5Decision
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Jim MillerRating 4.9Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
Whiteley · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
David MichaudRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Vinc PichelRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Alan PatrickRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10