Umar Nurmagomedov vs Sergey Morozov — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

20 Jan 2021

Bantamweight

70%

Nurmagomedov

30%

Morozov

Win Probability

Submission

Round 2 · 3:39

Umar Nurmagomedov

20 – 1

5'8"69" reachOrthodox30 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 57

Sergey Morozov

19 – 5

Well-Rounded2-fight win streak37 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"

CFR 25

★ Official Result

Umar NurmagomedovwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:39

def. Sergey Morozov · UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Nurmagomedov

→

Actual result

Nurmagomedov wins

Submission · R2

Pre-fight analysis

Nurmagomedov is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nurmagomedov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

NurmagomedovMorozov

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Nurmagomedov

Morozov

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'8"+

Height

5'6"

69"+

Reach

67"

30+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Nurmagomedov

Morozov

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

56.7

24.8

53.6

Performance Avg

39.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Nurmagomedov

Morozov

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.9

/ 10

1.2

/ 10

5.0

Style: Pressure

1.8

6.6

Style: Volume

9.2

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

8Distance4

5Clinch0

1Ground0

Nurmagomedov

Morozov

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.5

/ 10

2.4

/ 10

2.5

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.7

2.5

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Nurmagomedov

Morozov

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

10/21 fights

Chin rating based on

5/24 fights

Nurmagomedov

Morozov

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

2-fight 🔥 win streak

L · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

Last 5

W · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R2

W · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R2

Nurmagomedov

Morozov

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

38%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nurmagomedov

Morozov

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

2.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.2

3.5

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.4

2.5

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.7

2.5

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

5.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

1.8

6.6

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

9.2

Nurmagomedov

Strike Zones

Morozov

Nurmagomedov

Attacking

14 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Morozov

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

14 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (79% of attacks) — Morozov absorbs 79% of strikes there

🎯Morozov targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nurmagomedov

RND

Morozov

0/0R00/0

Nurmagomedov · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Song Yadong

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08

W · Dec · R3

Deiveson Figueiredo

Decision

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01

W · Dec · R3

Mario Bautista

Decision

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10

L · Dec · R5

Merab Dvalishvili

Decision

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

W · Dec · R5

Cory Sandhagen

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

Morozov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Journey Newson

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12

W · Dec · R3

Raulian Paiva

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06

L · Sub · R2

Douglas Silva de Andrade

Submission

UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02

W · Dec · R3

Khalid Taha

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07

L · Sub · R2

Umar Nurmagomedov

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01

News & Media

Umar Nurmagomedov · Sergey Morozov

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