METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
20 Jan 2021
Bantamweight
VS
64%
Nurmagomedov
36%
Morozov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:39
★ Official Result
Umar NurmagomedovwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:39
def. Sergey Morozov · UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nurmagomedov
→
Actual result
Nurmagomedov wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Nurmagomedov holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Morozov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nurmagomedov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Nurmagomedov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NurmagomedovMorozov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nurmagomedov
Morozov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
67"
30+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nurmagomedov
Morozov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.4
33.8
57.2
Performance Avg
39.0
36
Quality of Victory
25
75
Momentum Score
75
Nurmagomedov
Morozov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.3
62%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
1
1
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance4
5Clinch0
1Ground0
Nurmagomedov
Morozov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nurmagomedov
Morozov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
5/24 fights
Nurmagomedov
Morozov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
75
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Nurmagomedov
Morozov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nurmagomedov
Morozov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.8
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.2
NurmagomedovMorozov
Strike Zones
Nurmagomedov
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedMorozov
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (79% of attacks) — Morozov absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Morozov targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nurmagomedov
RND
Morozov
0/0R00/0
Nurmagomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Morozov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Nurmagomedov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 5.6Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Bekzat AlmakhanRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
Morozov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Journey NewsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Raulian PaivaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · Sub · R2
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 2.9Submission
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Khalid TahaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · Sub · R2
Umar NurmagomedovRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01