UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
20 Jan 2021
Bantamweight
VS
64%
Nurmagomedov
36%
Morozov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:39
Umar
Umar Nurmagomedov
20 – 1
5'8"69" reachOrthodox30 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 60
SM
Sergey Morozov
19 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak36 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"
CFR 34

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nurmagomedov

Nurmagomedov holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Morozov has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nurmagomedov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Nurmagomedov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Nurmagomedov
Morozov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
67"
30+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nurmagomedov
Morozov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.4
33.8
57.2
Performance Avg
39.0
36
Quality of Victory
25
75
Momentum Score
75
Nurmagomedov
Morozov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
62%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
1
1
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance4
5Clinch0
1Ground0
Nurmagomedov
Morozov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nurmagomedov
Morozov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
5/24 fights
Nurmagomedov
Morozov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
75
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Nurmagomedov
Morozov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nurmagomedov
Morozov
Striking3.0 / 1.2Volume6.8 / 9.2Grappling3.5 / 2.4Wrestling2.5 / 1.7Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 1.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.8
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.2
Nurmagomedov
Strike Zones
Morozov
Nurmagomedov
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Morozov
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (79% of attacks) — Morozov absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Morozov targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nurmagomedov
RND
Morozov
0/0R00/0

Nurmagomedov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.2W5.3W5.7W5.8W5.6W6.0W6.8L5.6W5.6W2021-012023-012025-012026-01
WinLossTrend

Morozov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0104.0L4.5W2.9L4.5W4.5W2021-012021-072022-022022-062022-12
WinLossTrend

Nurmagomedov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Bekzat AlmakhanRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

Morozov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Journey NewsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Raulian PaivaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · Sub · R2
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 2.9
Submission
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Khalid TahaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · Sub · R2
Umar NurmagomedovRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01

News & Media

Umar Nurmagomedov · Sergey Morozov
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