King Green vs Jeremy Stephens — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland

Newark, USA

9 May 2026

Lightweight

53%

Green

47%

Stephens

Win Probability

Submission

Round 1 · 4:20

King Green

35 – 17

5'10"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 50

Jeremy Stephens

"Lil' Heathen"

29 – 23

Well-Rounded7-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"

CFR 45

★ Official Result

King GreenwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:20

def. Jeremy Stephens · UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Green

→

Actual result

Green wins

Submission · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Green at 53% vs Stephens at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Green's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Stephens has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

GreenStephens

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Green

Stephens

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'10"+

Height

5'9"

71"

Reach

71"

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Green

Stephens

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

50.1

45.0

47.2

Performance Avg

41.1

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Green

Stephens

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.1

/ 10

5.5

/ 10

5.0

Style: Pressure

4.5

5.4

Style: Volume

4.6

5 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

7 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

22Distance4

0Clinch1

35Ground0

Green

Stephens

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.7

/ 10

1.1

/ 10

1.9

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.8

1.8

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Green

Stephens

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.2 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.3 stoppage

5 fights ago

Last KO loss

3 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

32/52 fights

Chin rating based on

36/52 fights

Green

Stephens

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

4-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

7-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

W · KO · R1

W · Sub · R1

W · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R1

L · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

Green

Stephens

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

47%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Green

Stephens

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.5

2.7

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.1

1.9

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.8

1.8

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

5.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.5

5.4

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.6

Green

Strike Zones

Stephens

Green

Attacking

57 landed

Absorbing

5 absorbed

Stephens

Attacking

5 landed

Absorbing

57 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Green targets the head (77% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 77% of strikes there

🎯Stephens targets the head (60% of attacks) — Green absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Green

RND

Stephens

0/0R00/0

Green · Last 5

Upcoming

Esteban Ribovics

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10

W · KO · R1

Terrance McKinney

KO/TKO

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

W · Sub · R1

Jeremy Stephens

Submission

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05

W · KO · R2

Daniel Zellhuber

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

W · Dec · R3

Lance Gibson Jr.

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

Stephens · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

King Green

Submission

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05

L · Dec · R3

Mason Jones

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05

L · Sub · R1

Mateusz Gamrot

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07

L · KO · R2

Calvin Kattar

KO/TKO

UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05

L · Dec · R3

Yair Rodriguez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10

News & Media

King Green · Jeremy Stephens

← Back to fights