UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2023
Bantamweight
VS
11%
Phillips
89%
Bolanos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bolanos
Bolanos is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bolanos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Striking split: Bolanos throws more volume but Phillips connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Bolanos has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Phillips
Bolanos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
69"
36
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Phillips
Bolanos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
4.9
38.1
0.0
Performance Avg
35.0
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
56
Phillips
Bolanos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
0.8
54%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
12
0
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground7
Phillips
Bolanos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Phillips
Bolanos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/17 fights
Chin rating based on
5/13 fights
Phillips
Bolanos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
56
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Phillips
Bolanos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Phillips
Bolanos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
PhillipsBolanos
Strike Zones
Phillips
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedBolanos
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Phillips targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bolanos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Bolanos targets the head (75% of attacks) — Phillips absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Phillips
RND
Bolanos
0/0R00/0
Phillips · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Bolanos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Phillips · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Gaston BolanosRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Sub · R2
Jack ShoreRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Matt HobarRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
L · Dec · R3
Sam SiciliaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
Bolanos · Last 5
Upcoming
Michael Aswell Jr.UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Sub · R2
Quang LeRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Cortavious RomiousRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Marcus McGheeRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Aaron PhillipsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04