UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2
Las Vegas, USA
21 Nov 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
44%
Nogueira
56%
Cane
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:56
RN
Rogerio Nogueira
"Minotouro"
23 – 10
6'2"75" reachSouthpaw49 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 14
LC
Luiz Cane
"Banha"
17 – 7
Striker2-fight slide45 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'2"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cane

This is a genuine toss-up — Nogueira at 44% vs Cane at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cane has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Nogueira's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cane has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Nogueira
Cane
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
75"
Reach
+77"
49
Age
+45
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Nogueira
Cane
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
18.2
47.0
Performance Avg
47.8
48
Quality of Victory
50
20
Momentum Score
65
Nogueira
Cane
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
3.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
46%
7.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
1
0
Body
0
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Nogueira
Cane
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nogueira
Cane
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/33 fights
Chin rating based on
9/24 fights
Nogueira
Cane
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Nogueira
Cane
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
75%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nogueira
Cane
Striking7.6 / 8.4Volume3.6 / 2.9Grappling0.8 / 0.6Wrestling0.6 / 0.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.0 / 6.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.4
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Nogueira
Strike Zones
Cane
Nogueira
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY3LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Cane
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY3LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nogueira targets the head (79% of attacks) — Cane absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Cane targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Nogueira absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nogueira
RND
Cane
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nogueira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W1.5L5.5L5.0W2.8L5.2W1.9L5.5L2009-112011-122016-052020-07
WinLossTrend

Cane · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0104.0L5.0W5.2W4.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W1.5L5.5L2007-122009-042011-032012-10
WinLossTrend

Nogueira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mauricio RuaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · KO · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · KO · R2
Sam AlveyRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Ryan BaderRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05

Cane · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Stanislav NedkovRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
W · KO · R1
Eliot MarshallRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Cyrille DiabateRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11

News & Media

Rogerio Nogueira · Luiz Cane
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