METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2
Las Vegas, USA
21 Nov 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
44%
Nogueira
56%
Cane
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:56
★ Official Result
Rogerio NogueirawinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:56
def. Luiz Cane · UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cane
→
Actual result
Nogueira wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nogueira at 44% vs Cane at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Nogueira's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cane has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NogueiraCane
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nogueira
Cane
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
75"
Reach
+77"
50
Age
+45
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Nogueira
Cane
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
18.2
47.0
Performance Avg
47.8
48
Quality of Victory
50
20
Momentum Score
65
Nogueira
Cane
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.6
/ 10
8.4
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
6.6
3.6
Style: Volume
2.9
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
1
0
Body
0
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Nogueira
Cane
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nogueira
Cane
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/33 fights
Chin rating based on
9/24 fights
Nogueira
Cane
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Nogueira
Cane
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
75%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nogueira
Cane
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.4
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
NogueiraCane
Strike Zones
Nogueira
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedCane
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nogueira targets the head (79% of attacks) — Cane absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Cane targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Nogueira absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nogueira
RND
Cane
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nogueira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mauricio RuaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · KO · R1
Ryan SpannKO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · KO · R2
Sam AlveyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Ryan BaderKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsKO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05
Cane · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziDecision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Stanislav NedkovKO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
W · KO · R1
Eliot MarshallKO/TKO
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Cyrille DiabateKO/TKO
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraKO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11