UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
Newark, USA
6 May 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
48%
Andrade
52%
Xiaonan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:20
Jessica
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26 – 15
5'1"62" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Yan
Yan Xiaonan
19 – 5
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'5"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Xiaonan

This is a genuine toss-up — Andrade at 48% vs Xiaonan at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Andrade's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Andrade
Xiaonan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'5"
62"
Reach
+63"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Xiaonan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
54.2
49.4
Performance Avg
45.0
45
Quality of Victory
29
79
Momentum Score
100
Andrade
Xiaonan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
1.6
52%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
12
3
Body
5
4
Leg
9
RangeRange
12Distance23
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Andrade
Xiaonan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrade
Xiaonan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Andrade
Xiaonan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Andrade
Xiaonan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
11%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Andrade
Xiaonan
Striking4.7 / 2.5Volume4.9 / 8.5Grappling2.5 / 2.1Wrestling1.8 / 1.5Submission1.8 / 0.0Pressure5.4 / 2.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Andrade
Strike Zones
Xiaonan
Andrade
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY4LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD5BODY9LEGS26 absorbed
Xiaonan
Attacking
12HEAD5BODY9LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY4LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (42% of attacks) — Xiaonan absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Xiaonan targets the head (46% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Andrade
RND
Xiaonan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Andrade · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.8L4.5W5.1W5.0W1.5L4.5W3.3L5.3W5.2W4.6W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W6.5W3.3L6.9L5.3W3.5L5.0W6.1W5.3W3.6L2.5L4.6L6.5W5.2W7.0L2.4L6.0L2013-072016-092020-072023-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Xiaonan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.6W4.5W4.5W3.0L6.2L5.7W5.8W7.3L5.2W6.2L2017-112020-022022-102025-04
WinLossTrend

Andrade · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

Xiaonan · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · Dec · R5
Mackenzie DernRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10

News & Media

Jessica Andrade · Yan Xiaonan
← Back to fights