METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
Newark, USA
6 May 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
50%
Andrade
50%
Xiaonan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:20
★ Official Result
Yan XiaonanwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:20
def. Jessica Andrade · UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Andrade
→
Actual result
Xiaonan wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Andrade at 50% vs Xiaonan at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Andrade's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Xiaonan has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AndradeXiaonan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Andrade
Xiaonan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'5"
62"
Reach
+63"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Xiaonan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
51.3
49.4
Performance Avg
43.0
45
Quality of Victory
29
79
Momentum Score
100
Andrade
Xiaonan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
2.7
4.9
Style: Volume
8.4
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
12
3
Body
5
4
Leg
9
RangeRange
12Distance23
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Andrade
Xiaonan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Andrade
Xiaonan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Andrade
Xiaonan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Andrade
Xiaonan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
11%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrade
Xiaonan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.7
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
AndradeXiaonan
Strike Zones
Andrade
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedXiaonan
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (42% of attacks) — Xiaonan absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Xiaonan targets the head (46% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrade
RND
Xiaonan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Andrade · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusSubmission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Xiaonan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Denise GomesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeKO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05