METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale
Las Vegas, USA
12 Jul 2015
Welterweight
VS
68%
Masvidal
32%
Ferreira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:22
★ Official Result
Jorge MasvidalwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:22
def. Cezar Ferreira · The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Masvidal
→
Actual result
Masvidal wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Masvidal holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Ferreira has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Masvidal has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Masvidal's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ferreira has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MasvidalFerreira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Masvidal
Ferreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+78"
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Masvidal
Ferreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.2
16.6
47.0
Performance Avg
49.5
42
Quality of Victory
43
43
Momentum Score
58
Masvidal
Ferreira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
0.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
5
3
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance6
3Clinch1
4Ground0
Masvidal
Ferreira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Masvidal
Ferreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
28
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/52 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Masvidal
Ferreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
58
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Masvidal
Ferreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Masvidal
Ferreira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
MasvidalFerreira
Strike Zones
Masvidal
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedFerreira
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Masvidal targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Ferreira targets the head (71% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Masvidal
RND
Ferreira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Masvidal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Ferreira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Masvidal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazRating 4.3UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
Ferreira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Karl RobersonRating 5Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02