The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale
Las Vegas, USA
12 Jul 2015
Welterweight
VS
68%
Masvidal
32%
Ferreira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:22
JM
Jorge Masvidal
"Gamebred"
3517
5'11"74" reachOrthodox41 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 35
CF
Cezar Ferreira
"Mutante"
138
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsSouthpaw78" reach6'1"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Masvidal

Masvidal holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Ferreira has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Masvidal has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Masvidal's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ferreira has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Masvidal
Ferreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+78"
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Masvidal
Ferreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.2
16.6
47.0
Performance Avg
49.5
42
Quality of Victory
43
43
Momentum Score
58
Masvidal
Ferreira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
5
3
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance6
3Clinch1
4Ground0
Masvidal
Ferreira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Masvidal
Ferreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
28
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
22/52 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Masvidal
Ferreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
58
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Masvidal
Ferreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Masvidal
Ferreira
Striking5.3 / 1.2Volume4.4 / 6.5Grappling1.7 / 4.3Wrestling1.2 / 3.0Submission0.8 / 3.3Pressure5.1 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Masvidal
Strike Zones
Ferreira
Masvidal
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Ferreira
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Masvidal targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Ferreira targets the head (71% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Masvidal
RND
Ferreira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Masvidal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.6W6.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L6.1L5.1W5.0W4.3W6.6L3.2L6.8L5.7L2013-042015-042017-012020-072023-04
WinLossTrend

Ferreira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.0W4.5W1.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L4.5W5.7W6.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L6.3L2012-062014-062016-072018-052019-07
WinLossTrend

Masvidal · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazRating 4.3
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

Ferreira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Karl RobersonRating 5
Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02

News & Media

Jorge Masvidal · Cezar Ferreira
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