UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson
Portland, USA
1 Oct 2016
Featherweight
VS
21%
Dias
79%
Fili
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fili
Fili is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fili has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Fili throws more volume but Dias connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Fili has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Dias
Fili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+74"
41
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dias
Fili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
48.8
30.0
Performance Avg
42.0
25
Quality of Victory
35
50
Momentum Score
100
Dias
Fili
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
37%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
9
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance5
0Clinch0
4Ground4
Dias
Fili
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dias
Fili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/29 fights
Chin rating based on
26/38 fights
Dias
Fili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Dias
Fili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
31%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dias
Fili
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
DiasFili
Strike Zones
Dias
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedFili
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dias targets the head (86% of attacks) — Fili absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Fili targets the head (100% of attacks) — Dias absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dias
RND
Fili
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dias · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Fili · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Dias · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 6Decision
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Levan MakashviliRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
Fili · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jose DelgadoRating 7Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Dan IgeRating 2.2KO/TKO
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