UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Winnipeg, Canada
16 Dec 2017
Welterweight
VS
74%
Ponzinibbio
26%
Perry
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ponzinibbio
Ponzinibbio is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Ponzinibbio throws more volume but Perry connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ponzinibbio's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Perry has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ponzinibbio
Perry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
71"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ponzinibbio
Perry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.7
16.4
50.5
Performance Avg
44.4
44
Quality of Victory
43
46
Momentum Score
50
Ponzinibbio
Perry
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.7
45%
Strike Accuracy
51%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
13
6
Body
3
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
18Distance18
0Clinch0
10Ground0
Ponzinibbio
Perry
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ponzinibbio
Perry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/40 fights
Chin rating based on
15/22 fights
Ponzinibbio
Perry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
50
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Ponzinibbio
Perry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
57%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ponzinibbio
Perry
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
PonzinibbioPerry
Strike Zones
Ponzinibbio
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedPerry
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ponzinibbio targets the head (68% of attacks) — Perry absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Perry targets the head (72% of attacks) — Ponzinibbio absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ponzinibbio
RND
Perry
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ponzinibbio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Perry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Ponzinibbio · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R3
Kevin HollandRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
W · KO · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
Perry · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 5.6Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Mickey GallRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Vicente LuqueRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08