UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
Melbourne, Australia
9 Feb 2019
Lightweight
VS
15%
Potter
85%
Turner
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:53
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Turner
Turner is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Turner has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Striking split: Turner throws more volume but Potter connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Potter's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Turner has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Potter
Turner
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
72"
Reach
+77"
41
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Potter
Turner
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.7
59.7
28.3
Performance Avg
56.4
25
Quality of Victory
56
40
Momentum Score
65
Potter
Turner
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
3.1
52%
Strike Accuracy
51%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
6
0
Body
3
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance5
0Clinch1
0Ground3
Potter
Turner
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Potter
Turner
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/27 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Potter
Turner
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
65
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Potter
Turner
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Potter
Turner
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.7
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.1
PotterTurner
Strike Zones
Potter
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTurner
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Potter targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Turner absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Turner targets the head (67% of attacks) — Potter absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Potter
RND
Turner
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Potter · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Turner · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Potter · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Song KenanRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Maki PitoloRating 4.5Decision
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
Turner · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Ignacio BahamondesRating 2.8Submission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Renato MoicanoRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
King GreenRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07