UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
Calgary, Canada
28 Jul 2018
Featherweight
VS
79%
Dawodu
21%
Arnett
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
HD
Hakeem Dawodu
"Mean"
13 – 4
5'8"73" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 37
AA
Austin Arnett
16 – 6
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 10

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dawodu

Dawodu is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Dawodu has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Dawodu
Arnett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
73"+
Reach
72"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dawodu
Arnett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
9.7
41.5
Performance Avg
25.0
29
Quality of Victory
25
80
Momentum Score
28
Dawodu
Arnett
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
46%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
3
4
Body
1
12
Leg
0
RangeRange
22Distance3
5Clinch1
0Ground0
Dawodu
Arnett
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dawodu
Arnett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Dawodu
Arnett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Dawodu
Arnett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dawodu
Arnett
Striking2.9 / 0.5Volume7.9 / 8.5Grappling2.0 / 2.4Wrestling1.4 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.0 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Dawodu
Strike Zones
Arnett
Dawodu
Attacking
11HEAD4BODY12LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Arnett
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD4BODY12LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dawodu targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Arnett absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Arnett targets the head (75% of attacks) — Dawodu absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dawodu
RND
Arnett
0/0R00/0

Dawodu · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0101.5L4.5W4.5W5.5W5.2W5.0W6.8L4.5W5.7L6.0L2018-032019-072021-062023-08
WinLossTrend

Arnett · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.2L5.6L4.5W5.5L2018-012018-072018-112019-02
WinLossTrend

Dawodu · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Julian ErosaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Michael TrizanoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Zubaira TukhugovRating 5
Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09

Arnett · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Shane YoungRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Humberto BandenayRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01

News & Media

Hakeem Dawodu · Austin Arnett
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