METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
Calgary, Canada
28 Jul 2018
Featherweight
VS
79%
Dawodu
21%
Arnett
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Hakeem DawoduwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Austin Arnett · UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dawodu
→
Actual result
Dawodu wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Dawodu is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dawodu has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DawoduArnett
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dawodu
Arnett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
73"+
Reach
72"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dawodu
Arnett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
9.7
41.5
Performance Avg
25.0
29
Quality of Victory
25
80
Momentum Score
28
Dawodu
Arnett
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
1.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
46%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
3
4
Body
1
12
Leg
0
RangeRange
22Distance3
5Clinch1
0Ground0
Dawodu
Arnett
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dawodu
Arnett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Dawodu
Arnett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Dawodu
Arnett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dawodu
Arnett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
DawoduArnett
Strike Zones
Dawodu
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedArnett
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dawodu targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Arnett absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Arnett targets the head (75% of attacks) — Dawodu absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dawodu
RND
Arnett
0/0R00/0
Dawodu · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Arnett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Dawodu · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Julian ErosaRating 5.7Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Michael TrizanoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Zubaira TukhugovRating 5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
Arnett · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Shane YoungRating 5.5Decision
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Humberto BandenayRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01