METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
Auckland, New Zealand
10 Jun 2017
Flyweight
VS
90%
Moraga
10%
Mokhtarian
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
John MoragawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ashkan Mokhtarian · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moraga
→
Actual result
Moraga wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Moraga is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Moraga has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Risk flags
Moraga's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoragaMokhtarian
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moraga
Mokhtarian
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+67"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Moraga
Mokhtarian
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
2.1
47.9
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
64
Momentum Score
0
Moraga
Mokhtarian
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.1
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.1
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
1Clinch0
24Ground2
Moraga
Mokhtarian
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moraga
Mokhtarian
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Moraga
Mokhtarian
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Moraga
Mokhtarian
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moraga
Mokhtarian
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MoragaMokhtarian
Strike Zones
Moraga
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMokhtarian
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moraga targets the head (96% of attacks) — Mokhtarian absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Mokhtarian targets the head (67% of attacks) — Moraga absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moraga
RND
Mokhtarian
0/0R00/0
Moraga · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R1
Magomed BibulatovKO/TKO
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ashkan MokhtarianDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
Mokhtarian · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Ryan BenoitKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06