UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
Auckland, New Zealand
10 Jun 2017
Flyweight
VS
90%
Moraga
10%
Mokhtarian
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Moraga
Moraga is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Moraga has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Moraga has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Moraga's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Moraga
Mokhtarian
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+67"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Moraga
Mokhtarian
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
2.1
47.9
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
64
Momentum Score
0
Moraga
Mokhtarian
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
1Clinch0
24Ground2
Moraga
Mokhtarian
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moraga
Mokhtarian
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Moraga
Mokhtarian
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Moraga
Mokhtarian
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moraga
Mokhtarian
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MoragaMokhtarian
Strike Zones
Moraga
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMokhtarian
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moraga targets the head (96% of attacks) — Mokhtarian absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Mokhtarian targets the head (67% of attacks) — Moraga absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moraga
RND
Mokhtarian
0/0R00/0
Moraga · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Mokhtarian · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Moraga · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R1
Magomed BibulatovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ashkan MokhtarianRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
Mokhtarian · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Ryan BenoitRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06