UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Las Vegas, USA
24 May 2014
Lightweight
VS
28%
Njokuani
72%
Pichel
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pichel
Pichel is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Pichel throws more volume but Njokuani connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pichel has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Njokuani
Pichel
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
46
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Njokuani
Pichel
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.0
39.5
36.0
Performance Avg
41.3
35
Quality of Victory
30
50
Momentum Score
40
Njokuani
Pichel
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
9
RangeRange
7Distance3
0Clinch8
1Ground0
Njokuani
Pichel
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Njokuani
Pichel
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/28 fights
Chin rating based on
12/19 fights
Njokuani
Pichel
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Njokuani
Pichel
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
14%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Njokuani
Pichel
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
NjokuaniPichel
Strike Zones
Njokuani
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedPichel
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Njokuani targets the head (88% of attacks) — Pichel absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Pichel targets the legs (82% of attacks) — Njokuani absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Njokuani
RND
Pichel
0/0R00/0
Njokuani · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Pichel · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Njokuani · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daron CruickshankRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Vinc PichelRating 5.7Decision
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
W · KO · R2
Roger BowlingRating 5.2KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
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UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
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L · Dec · R3
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