METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Sacramento, USA
22 Aug 2026
Middleweight
VS
43%
Schultz
57%
McVey
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:13
Wes
Wes Schultz
"Party Time"
93
6'1"77" reachOrthodox30 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 47
Jackson
Jackson McVey
"The Moose"
72
Pressure Fighter2-fight win streak27 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'4"
CFR 62
★ Official Result
Jackson McVeywinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:13
def. Wes Schultz · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McVey
Schultz by submission in round two — a scramble-heavy fight that ends the moment
Actual result
McVey wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Two middleweights who both score a perfect ten for submissions, have both been finished at this level, and have five UFC fights between them.

Some fights are close because the model cannot tell the difference. This is one of them, and the reason is not subtlety — it is that both men have been rated off almost nothing, and what little exists points the same way for each. Wes Schultz and Jackson McVey have five recorded UFC fights between them, two and three respectively. Their composites are 55.4 and 54.0. Their submission scores are bo…

Schultz intel

Schultz (9-3) submitted Ben Johnston in the third round in May after being knocked out by Damian Pinas in 2:30 of the first in February. Two recorded UFC fights, one each way, and a 1.00 finish rate that means nothing he has won has reached the cards.

McVey intel

McVey (7-2) submitted Sedriques Dumas in 2:14 of the first round in April, having been submitted himself in his two previous appearances — by Zach Reese in November 2025 and Brunno Ferreira in July 2025. At 27 he is the younger and taller man, and his 54.0 quality-of-victory leads Schultz's 45.0.

Key angles

Two 10.0 submission ratings and two 8.00 grappling ratings — the metrics cannot separate them at all

McVey has been submitted twice in three UFC fights by fighters doing what Schultz does

Schultz has been knocked out once, and neither man rates above 1.00 for striking

Five recorded UFC fights between them; every rating here is provisional

McVey's 54.0 quality-of-victory against Schultz's 45.0 on the same tiny sample

Risk flags

With two and three recorded fights, either composite could be badly wrong in either direction

Schultz's chin already failed once inside 150 seconds; a 0.67 striking rating is still enough to catch a man who walks forward at 8.50 pressure

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SchultzMcVey
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Schultz
McVey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
77"
30
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Schultz
McVey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.8
61.6
40.3
Performance Avg
54.2
45
Quality of Victory
57
43
Momentum Score
65
Schultz
McVey
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
8.5
0.7
Style: Volume
1.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
32
12
Body
6
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance34
4Clinch1
0Ground3
Schultz
McVey
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Schultz
McVey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Schultz
McVey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
65
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Schultz
McVey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Schultz
McVey
Striking0.7 / 6.0Volume0.7 / 1.0Grappling8.0 / 4.0Wrestling5.6 / 2.8Submission10.0 / 5.0Pressure8.0 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Schultz
Strike Zones
McVey
Schultz
Attacking
11HEAD12BODY1LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD6BODY0LEGS38 absorbed
McVey
Attacking
32HEAD6BODY0LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD12BODY1LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Schultz targets the body (50% of attacks) — McVey absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯McVey targets the head (84% of attacks) — Schultz absorbs 84% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Schultz
RND
McVey
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Schultz · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Jackson McVey
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · Sub · R3
Ben Johnston
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Damian Pinas
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

McVey · Last 4

W · KO · R1
Wes Schultz
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · Sub · R1
Sedriques Dumas
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Zach Reese
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Sub · R1
Brunno Ferreira
Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07

News & Media

Wes Schultz · Jackson McVey
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