UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
14 Jan 2012
Lightweight
VS
70%
Barboza
30%
Etim
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:02
Edson
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
24 – 14
5'11"75" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
TE
Terry Etim
16 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barboza

Barboza is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Barboza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Etim has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Barboza
Etim
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
75"+
Reach
73"
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barboza
Etim
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
19.1
46.3
Performance Avg
50.5
40
Quality of Victory
48
60
Momentum Score
58
Barboza
Etim
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.8
46%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
9 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
1
Body
2
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance4
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Barboza
Etim
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.7
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barboza
Etim
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/38 fights
Chin rating based on
11/21 fights
Barboza
Etim
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
58
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Barboza
Etim
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
83%
9
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
9
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barboza
Etim
Striking6.1 / 2.8Volume5.1 / 2.4Grappling1.2 / 5.7Wrestling0.8 / 4.0Submission0.0 / 6.7Pressure5.2 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
Barboza
Strike Zones
Etim
Barboza
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY3LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Etim
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY3LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Etim absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Etim targets the head (50% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barboza
RND
Etim
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Barboza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W5.6L4.5W3.3L4.5W4.5W6.2W5.5L5.5L6.4W3.1L5.5L6.2L4.6W5.5W3.7L6.5L6.2W5.3W7.0L6.5L2.7L2010-112014-042017-032021-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Etim · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.2W5.2W5.2W2.9L5.0W4.5L5.5L2007-042008-102009-112012-012013-02
WinLossTrend

Barboza · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

Etim · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Renee ForteRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Sub · R1
Edward FaalolotoRating 5
Submission
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
L · Sub · R2
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 2.9
Submission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Sub · R2
Shannon GugertyRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11

News & Media

Edson Barboza · Terry Etim
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