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UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
14 Jan 2012
Lightweight
VS
70%
Barboza
30%
Etim
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 Β· 2:02
Edson
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
24 – 14
5'11"75" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
TE
Terry Etim
16 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 19
β˜… Official Result
Edson BarbozawinsKO/TKOR3 Β· 2:02
def. Terry Etim Β· UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barboza
β†’
Actual result
Barboza wins
KO/TKO Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

Barboza is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Barboza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Etim has a chin rating of 60 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BarbozaEtim
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Barboza
Etim
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
75"+
Reach
73"
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barboza
Etim
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
19.1
46.3
Performance Avg
50.5
40
Quality of Victory
48
60
Momentum Score
58
Barboza
Etim
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.3
0.8
46%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
9 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
1
Body
2
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance4
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Barboza
Etim
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
β€”
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.7
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barboza
Etim
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
32/38 fights
Chin rating based on
11/21 fights
Barboza
Etim
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
60
58
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Barboza
Etim
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
83%
9
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
9
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barboza
Etim
Striking6.1 / 2.8Volume5.1 / 2.4Grappling1.2 / 5.7Wrestling0.8 / 4.0Submission0.0 / 6.7Pressure5.2 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
Barboza
Strike Zones
Etim
Barboza
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY3LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Etim
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY3LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the legs (50% of attacks) β€” Etim absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Etim targets the head (50% of attacks) β€” Barboza absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Barboza
RND
Etim
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Barboza Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W5.6L4.5W3.3L4.5W4.5W6.2W5.5L5.5L6.4W3.1L5.5L6.2L4.6W5.5W3.7L6.5L6.2W5.3W7.0L6.5L2.7L2010-112014-042017-032021-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Etim Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.2W5.2W5.2W2.9L5.0W4.5L5.5L2007-042008-102009-112012-012013-02
WinLossTrend

Barboza Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Β· 2025-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev Β· 2025-08
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy Β· 2024-05
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza Β· 2023-10
W Β· KO Β· R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen Β· 2023-04

Etim Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Renee ForteRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald Β· 2013-02
L Β· KO Β· R3
Edson BarbozaRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes Β· 2012-01
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Edward FaalolotoRating 5
Submission
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz Β· 2011-11
L Β· Sub Β· R2
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 2.9
Submission
UFC 112: Invincible Β· 2010-04
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Shannon GugertyRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera Β· 2009-11

News & Media

Edson Barboza Β· Terry Etim
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