UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett
Austin, USA
18 Jun 2022
Middleweight
VS
66%
Buckley
34%
Duraev
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Buckley
Buckley holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Duraev has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Buckley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Buckley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Buckley's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Buckley
Duraev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
76"+
Reach
75"
32+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Buckley
Duraev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.0
29.8
50.6
Performance Avg
35.0
41
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
56
Buckley
Duraev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
35%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
1
5
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance2
3Clinch1
1Ground0
Buckley
Duraev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Buckley
Duraev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/29 fights
Chin rating based on
4/21 fights
Buckley
Duraev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
W · Dec · R3
Buckley
Duraev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Buckley
Duraev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
BuckleyDuraev
Strike Zones
Buckley
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedDuraev
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Buckley targets the head (64% of attacks) — Duraev absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Duraev targets the body (67% of attacks) — Buckley absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Buckley
RND
Duraev
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Buckley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Duraev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Buckley · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean BradyRating 6.6Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 5.6UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · KO · R3
Stephen ThompsonRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
Duraev · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
JunYong ParkRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Chidi NjokuaniRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
L · R2
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.9UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10