UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Miami, USA
12 Apr 2025
Lightweight
VS
46%
Miller
54%
Hooper
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jim
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39 – 19
5'8"71" reachSouthpaw42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
Chase
Chase Hooper
"The Dream"
16 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide26 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hooper

This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 46% vs Hooper at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hooper has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hooper has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Miller
Hooper
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+74"
42
Age
+26
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Miller
Hooper
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
50.9
51.5
Performance Avg
51.8
45
Quality of Victory
45
28
Momentum Score
51
Miller
Hooper
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.9
41%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Miller
Hooper
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Hooper
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
13/21 fights
Miller
Hooper
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
51
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Miller
Hooper
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
75%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
14
Submission Wins
4
8
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miller
Hooper
Striking3.4 / 3.7Volume3.5 / 3.2Grappling4.7 / 4.6Wrestling3.3 / 3.2Submission5.0 / 5.0Pressure6.8 / 7.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
Miller
Strike Zones
Hooper
Miller
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Hooper
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hooper absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Hooper targets the head (83% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Miller
RND
Hooper
0/0R00/0

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.4W5.5W5.5L5.0W2.1L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.1L6.5L4.5W3.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L5.5L2.4L5.0W2.9L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.2W5.7L6.2L5.2W5.9W5.2W6.4L5.0W5.7W6.2L5.3W6.3L5.4W2008-102012-052017-022021-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Hooper · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.7L5.5W5.5L5.5W3.4L4.5W6.5W5.8W5.5W4.9W2.4L2.9L2019-122022-052024-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Miller · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01

Hooper · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alexander HernandezRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R2
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

News & Media

Jim Miller · Chase Hooper
← Back to fights