METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Miami, USA
12 Apr 2025
Lightweight
VS
44%
Miller
56%
Hooper
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chase HooperwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jim Miller · UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hooper
→
Actual result
Hooper wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 44% vs Hooper at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hooper has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MillerHooper
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miller
Hooper
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+74"
43
Age
+26
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Miller
Hooper
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
56.3
51.5
Performance Avg
53.5
45
Quality of Victory
46
28
Momentum Score
72
Miller
Hooper
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
7.4
3.5
Style: Volume
3.1
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Miller
Hooper
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.5
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.6
14
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miller
Hooper
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
14/21 fights
Miller
Hooper
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
72
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Miller
Hooper
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
78%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
14
Submission Wins
5
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Hooper
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.6
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
MillerHooper
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedHooper
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hooper absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Hooper targets the head (83% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Hooper
0/0R00/0
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonSubmission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonSubmission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Hooper · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Mitch RamirezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Lance Gibson Jr.KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alexander HernandezKO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12