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UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2022
Catch Weight
VS
57%
Ponzinibbio
43%
Morono
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 Β· 2:29
Santiago
Santiago Ponzinibbio
"Argentine Dagger"
31 – 9
6'0"73" reachOrthodox39 yrsStriker
CFR 46
Alex
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
24 – 13
Well-Rounded4-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 35
β˜… Official Result
Santiago PonzinibbiowinsKO/TKOR3 Β· 2:29
def. Alex Morono Β· UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ponzinibbio
β†’
Actual result
Ponzinibbio wins
KO/TKO Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Ponzinibbio at 57% vs Morono at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ponzinibbio has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ponzinibbio's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Morono has a chin rating of 20 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PonzinibbioMorono
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Ponzinibbio
Morono
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
73"+
Reach
72"
39
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ponzinibbio
Morono
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.7
35.0
50.5
Performance Avg
43.3
44
Quality of Victory
35
46
Momentum Score
20
Ponzinibbio
Morono
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
2.1
2.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
41%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
8
3
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance8
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Ponzinibbio
Morono
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
β€”
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ponzinibbio
Morono
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
20/40 fights
Chin rating based on
24/37 fights
Ponzinibbio
Morono
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
46
20
Current form
4-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· KO Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Ponzinibbio
Morono
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
31%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ponzinibbio
Morono
Striking7.0 / 2.7Volume4.5 / 6.7Grappling1.0 / 2.9Wrestling0.7 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 1.5Pressure5.9 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.5
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Ponzinibbio
Strike Zones
Morono
Ponzinibbio
Attacking
13HEAD3BODY2LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Morono
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD3BODY2LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ponzinibbio targets the head (72% of attacks) β€” Morono absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Morono targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Ponzinibbio absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Ponzinibbio
RND
Morono
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ponzinibbio Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5L5.0W5.6W2.8L5.0W5.2W4.9W4.5W6.1W4.5W6.0W2.3L5.1W6.5L6.1L5.5W4.6L6.5L6.3W4.9L2013-112016-042018-112022-122025-05
WinLossTrend

Morono Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.9W5.0W5.1W2.9L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5L5.3W6.7L4.7W6.2L6.4L2.3L7.8L2016-012019-032021-092024-042026-02
WinLossTrend

Ponzinibbio Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo Β· 2025-05
W Β· KO Β· R3
Carlston HarrisRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 Β· 2025-01
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez Β· 2024-07
L Β· KO Β· R3
Kevin HollandRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 Β· 2023-04
W Β· KO Β· R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev Β· 2022-12

Morono Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Daniil DonchenkoRating 7.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira Β· 2026-02
L Β· KO Β· R1
Carlos LealRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev Β· 2025-03
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira Β· 2024-10
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Niko PriceRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier Β· 2024-06
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 Β· 2024-04

News & Media

Santiago Ponzinibbio Β· Alex Morono
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