UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2022
Catch Weight
VS
57%
Ponzinibbio
43%
Morono
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:29
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ponzinibbio
This is a genuine toss-up — Ponzinibbio at 57% vs Morono at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ponzinibbio has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ponzinibbio's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Morono has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ponzinibbio
Morono
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
73"+
Reach
72"
39
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ponzinibbio
Morono
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.7
35.0
50.5
Performance Avg
43.3
44
Quality of Victory
35
46
Momentum Score
20
Ponzinibbio
Morono
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
2.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
41%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
8
3
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance8
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Ponzinibbio
Morono
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ponzinibbio
Morono
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/40 fights
Chin rating based on
24/37 fights
Ponzinibbio
Morono
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
20
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ponzinibbio
Morono
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
31%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ponzinibbio
Morono
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.5
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
PonzinibbioMorono
Strike Zones
Ponzinibbio
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMorono
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ponzinibbio targets the head (72% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Morono targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ponzinibbio absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ponzinibbio
RND
Morono
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ponzinibbio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Morono · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Ponzinibbio · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R3
Kevin HollandRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
W · KO · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
Morono · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoRating 7.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Carlos LealRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceRating 6.2Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04