METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Jul 2020
Middleweight
VS
71%
Whittaker
29%
Till
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Robert WhittakerwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Darren Till · UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Whittaker
→
Actual result
Whittaker wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Whittaker is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Till has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WhittakerTill
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Whittaker
Till
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
35
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Whittaker
Till
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.0
22.4
56.6
Performance Avg
44.3
46
Quality of Victory
38
71
Momentum Score
35
Whittaker
Till
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
4.0
6.3
Style: Volume
6.4
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
10
4
Body
2
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance11
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Whittaker
Till
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Whittaker
Till
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Whittaker
Till
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
35
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Whittaker
Till
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
33%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Whittaker
Till
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
WhittakerTill
Strike Zones
Whittaker
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTill
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the legs (41% of attacks) — Till absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Till targets the head (83% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Whittaker
RND
Till
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Whittaker · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevSubmission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Till · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Dricus Du PlessisSubmission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Sub · R3
Derek BrunsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumDecision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Jorge MasvidalKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03