UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
Brooklyn, USA
7 Apr 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Clark
48%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Clark
This is a genuine toss-up — Clark at 52% vs Rodriguez at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Rodriguez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.
Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Clark's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rodriguez has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Clark
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+82"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Clark
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.7
26.6
35.7
Performance Avg
47.4
28
Quality of Victory
60
43
Momentum Score
26
Clark
Rodriguez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
58%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
2
Body
7
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance0
5Clinch8
3Ground2
Clark
Rodriguez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Clark
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/23 fights
Chin rating based on
8/18 fights
Clark
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Clark
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Clark
Rodriguez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
ClarkRodriguez
Strike Zones
Clark
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedRodriguez
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Clark targets the head (69% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the body (70% of attacks) — Clark absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Clark
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
Clark · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Clark · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcin PrachnioRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R2
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 4Submission
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Da Woon JungRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
L · KO · R3
Azamat MurzakanovRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
W · KO · R3
William KnightRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
Rodriguez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tafon NchukwiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
L · Sub · R2
Danilo MarquesRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · Sub · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Marcin PrachnioRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Da Woon JungRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12