UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
San Jose, USA
26 Jul 2014
Featherweight
VS
75%
Guida
25%
Bermudez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:57
Clay
Clay Guida
"The Carpenter"
38 – 22
5'7"70" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 44
DB
Dennis Bermudez
"The Menace"
17 – 9
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Guida

Guida is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Bermudez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Guida's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Bermudez has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Guida
Bermudez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
66"
44
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Guida
Bermudez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.2
14.4
40.7
Performance Avg
43.2
35
Quality of Victory
33
78
Momentum Score
50
Guida
Bermudez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.0
36%
Strike Accuracy
46%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
15
1
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance17
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Guida
Bermudez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guida
Bermudez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
26
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
8
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/60 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Guida
Bermudez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Guida
Bermudez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
30%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
2
11
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Guida
Bermudez
Striking2.1 / 2.2Volume5.9 / 6.8Grappling3.7 / 3.3Wrestling2.6 / 2.3Submission2.8 / 2.0Pressure4.2 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
2.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Guida
Strike Zones
Bermudez
Guida
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD1BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Bermudez
Attacking
15HEAD1BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Guida targets the head (81% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Bermudez targets the head (88% of attacks) — Guida absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Guida
RND
Bermudez
0/0R00/0

Guida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.0L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.2W5.7W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.0L4.5W2.8L4.5W1.5L5.4L4.5W5.0W2.9L4.5W1.9L6.2L4.6W5.7L5.3W2.4L4.5W6.3L6.1L2.3L2006-102010-032015-042021-082024-12
WinLossTrend

Bermudez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0101.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.6W4.5W5.5W5.7W1.5L4.5L4.5W4.5W2.0L6.0L6.2L5.6L4.5W2011-122013-112016-022018-072019-01
WinLossTrend

Guida · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Chase HooperRating 2.3
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Sub · R1
Claudio PuellesRating 2.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04

Bermudez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Te EdwardsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02

News & Media

Clay Guida · Dennis Bermudez
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