METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
San Jose, USA
26 Jul 2014
Featherweight
VS
73%
Guida
27%
Bermudez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:57
★ Official Result
Dennis BermudezwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:57
def. Clay Guida · UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guida
→
Actual result
Bermudez wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Guida is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Guida's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bermudez has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GuidaBermudez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Guida
Bermudez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
66"
44
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Guida
Bermudez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
14.4
40.7
Performance Avg
43.2
35
Quality of Victory
33
78
Momentum Score
50
Guida
Bermudez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
3.9
5.9
Style: Volume
6.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
15
1
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance17
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Guida
Bermudez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
2.8
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
5
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Guida
Bermudez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
26
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
8
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/60 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Guida
Bermudez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Guida
Bermudez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
30%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
2
11
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Guida
Bermudez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
2.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
GuidaBermudez
Strike Zones
Guida
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedBermudez
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Guida targets the head (81% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Bermudez targets the head (88% of attacks) — Guida absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Guida
RND
Bermudez
0/0R00/0
Guida · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
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Bermudez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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