UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
20 May 2023
Lightweight
VS
60%
Ferreira
40%
Johnson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:50
Diego
Diego Ferreira
19 – 7
5'9"74" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 55
Michael
Michael Johnson
"The Menace"
25 – 20
Well-Rounded39 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'10"
CFR 37

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ferreira

Ferreira holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Johnson has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ferreira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ferreira's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Johnson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ferreira
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
74"+
Reach
73"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ferreira
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.1
36.8
50.7
Performance Avg
42.5
45
Quality of Victory
38
87
Momentum Score
35
Ferreira
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
39%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
2
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance5
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Ferreira
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ferreira
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
32/45 fights
Ferreira
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Ferreira
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
38%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ferreira
Johnson
Striking6.2 / 4.8Volume3.6 / 6.0Grappling2.3 / 1.5Wrestling1.6 / 1.1Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure6.7 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Ferreira
Strike Zones
Johnson
Ferreira
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD4BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
1HEAD4BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ferreira targets the head (67% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the body (80% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ferreira
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ferreira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.2W6.5L2.8L4.5W5.4W5.3W4.5W4.5W5.2W6.5L2.8L3.8L5.3W6.1W7.0L3.6L2014-062018-022021-022025-012025-09
WinLossTrend

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W6.5L5.5L6.3W4.0L3.7L3.2L5.2W4.5W4.1L5.5L3.0L6.0L5.2W5.7L4.6W3.8L5.3W6.0W4.9W4.0L2010-122013-082017-072022-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Ferreira · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander HernandezRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Grant DawsonRating 7
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R3
Mateusz RebeckiRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · KO · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12

Johnson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Drew DoberRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05

News & Media

Diego Ferreira · Michael Johnson
← Back to fights