UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum
Fortaleza, Brazil
11 Mar 2017
Lightweight
VS
68%
Prazeres
32%
Burkman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:42
MP
Michel Prazeres
"Tractor"
26 – 4
5'6"67" reachOrthodox44 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 31
JB
Joshua Burkman
"The People's Warrior"
28 – 16
Well-Rounded5-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Prazeres

Prazeres holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Burkman has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Prazeres has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Burkman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Prazeres
Burkman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
67"
Reach
+72"
44+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Prazeres
Burkman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.5
14.3
48.3
Performance Avg
34.7
33
Quality of Victory
36
85
Momentum Score
80
Prazeres
Burkman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
12Clinch0
8Ground0
Prazeres
Burkman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.1
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Prazeres
Burkman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
5
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/30 fights
Chin rating based on
19/44 fights
Prazeres
Burkman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Prazeres
Burkman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Prazeres
Burkman
Striking1.4 / 2.3Volume7.0 / 6.0Grappling4.1 / 2.9Wrestling2.9 / 2.0Submission3.0 / 1.7Pressure4.2 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Prazeres
Strike Zones
Burkman
Prazeres
Attacking
24HEAD0BODY0LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Burkman
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD0BODY0LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Prazeres targets the head (100% of attacks) — Burkman absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Burkman targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Prazeres absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Prazeres
RND
Burkman
0/0R00/0

Prazeres · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.7W5.0W5.5W4.5W4.9W5.0W6.0L4.8L2013-052015-112017-092019-022021-06
WinLossTrend

Burkman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.0W5.0W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2.8L5.5L4.0L4.0L4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L2.7L1.5L2005-112007-052015-052017-032018-02
WinLossTrend

Prazeres · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Sub · R1
Bartosz FabinskiRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02

Burkman · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Zak OttowRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05

News & Media

Michel Prazeres · Joshua Burkman
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