METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Garcia's CFR edge upsets expectations — the underdog by record may actually be the favourite by metrics
On paper, Diego Lopes (27-8) appears the clear favourite. But the composite rating tells a different story — Garcia (19-5, CFR 72.5) has outperformed his record in recent outings, producing quality metrics that exceed Lopes's current rating of 61.4. This fight could be significantly more competitive than casual observers expect. Lopes is a high-volume striker with submission ability; Garcia is phy…
Lopes (27-8, CFR 61.4) has been active with notable wins, but his recent metrics suggest he is slightly below where casual fans might rate him.
Garcia (19-5, CFR 72.5) has quietly put together an impressive run with performance quality that exceeds expectations given his win-loss record.
Whether Lopes's experience overcomes the CFR deficit
Garcia's volume and pressure in later rounds
Lopes's submission attempts if the fight goes to the mat
Lopes's experience and ring generalship could neutralise Garcia's metrics advantage
CFR advantage is modest — this is genuinely close
This Fight — Statistics
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown