UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas
Las Vegas, USA
23 Mar 2024
Bantamweight
VS
55%
Talbott
45%
Saaiman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:21
Payton
Payton Talbott
11 – 1
5'10"70" reachSwitch27 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 66
Cameron
Cameron Saaiman
"MSP"
9 – 3
Striker3-fight slide25 yrsSouthpaw67" reach5'8"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Talbott

This is a genuine toss-up — Talbott at 55% vs Saaiman at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Saaiman throws more volume but Talbott connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Saaiman has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Talbott
Saaiman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
67"
27
Age
+25
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Talbott
Saaiman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.5
54.3
58.5
Performance Avg
47.0
42
Quality of Victory
45
86
Momentum Score
75
Talbott
Saaiman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.5
63%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
19Ground0
Talbott
Saaiman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.8
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Talbott
Saaiman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
54
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Talbott
Saaiman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
86
75
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Talbott
Saaiman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Talbott
Saaiman
Striking5.7 / 7.7Volume4.9 / 3.7Grappling2.6 / 0.8Wrestling1.8 / 0.6Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure6.7 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Talbott
Strike Zones
Saaiman
Talbott
Attacking
20HEAD0BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Saaiman
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD0BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Talbott targets the head (100% of attacks) — Saaiman absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Talbott
RND
Saaiman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Talbott · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.5W6.2W5.0W6.3L5.5W6.0W2023-112024-032024-062025-012025-062025-12
WinLossTrend

Saaiman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5W4.5W5.0W6.1L4.3L2.9L2022-122023-032023-072023-102024-032025-04
WinLossTrend

Talbott · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 6
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Felipe LimaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R1
Yanis GhemmouriRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Cameron SaaimanRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

Saaiman · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Malcolm WellmakerRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Payton TalbottRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Terrence MitchellRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Mana MartinezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

News & Media

Payton Talbott · Cameron Saaiman
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