UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch
Pittsburgh, USA
16 Sept 2017
Lightweight
VS
59%
Gillespie
41%
Gonzalez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:11
GG
Gregor Gillespie
"The Gift"
14 – 1
5'7"71" reachOrthodox39 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 25
JG
Jason Gonzalez
"Nicoya"
11 – 5
Submission Hunter2-fight slide36 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'2"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gillespie

This is a genuine toss-up — Gillespie at 59% vs Gonzalez at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gillespie has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gonzalez has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Gillespie
Gonzalez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
+74"
39
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Gillespie
Gonzalez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.8
17.0
65.3
Performance Avg
42.4
51
Quality of Victory
54
89
Momentum Score
43
Gillespie
Gonzalez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.7
1.8
58%
Strike Accuracy
34%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Gillespie
Gonzalez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gillespie
Gonzalez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Gillespie
Gonzalez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Gillespie
Gonzalez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gillespie
Gonzalez
Striking7.5 / 0.5Volume2.9 / 0.5Grappling2.6 / 8.0Wrestling1.8 / 5.6Submission2.9 / 10.0Pressure8.6 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
8.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Gillespie
Strike Zones
Gonzalez
Gillespie
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Gonzalez
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gillespie targets the body (100% of attacks) — Gonzalez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gonzalez targets the head (67% of attacks) — Gillespie absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gillespie
RND
Gonzalez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Gillespie · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.5W5.2W1.5L6.3W2016-092017-092018-062019-112021-05
WinLossTrend

Gonzalez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.1
0102.7L5.0W2.8L1.9L2016-092017-012017-092019-04
WinLossTrend

Gillespie · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kevin LeeRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · KO · R2
Yancy MedeirosRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · Sub · R2
Vinc PichelRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
W · KO · R1
Jordan RinaldiRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01

Gonzalez · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · Sub · R2
Gregor GillespieRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
W · Sub · R1
JC CottrellRating 5
Submission
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09

News & Media

Gregor Gillespie · Jason Gonzalez
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