UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
Santiago, Chile
19 May 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Cannonier
51%
Reyes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:55
Jared
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
18 – 9
5'11"77" reachSwitch42 yrsStriker
CFR 54
Dominick
Dominick Reyes
"The Devastator"
16 – 5
Striker36 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'4"
CFR 56

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Reyes

This is a genuine toss-up — Cannonier at 49% vs Reyes at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Reyes throws more volume but Cannonier connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Cannonier's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Reyes has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cannonier
Reyes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
77"
42
Age
+36
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Cannonier
Reyes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.3
55.7
49.3
Performance Avg
56.3
46
Quality of Victory
49
82
Momentum Score
71
Cannonier
Reyes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.5
56%
Strike Accuracy
55%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
7 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
7
0
Body
5
2
Leg
8
RangeRange
6Distance19
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Cannonier
Reyes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.9
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cannonier
Reyes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
10
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Cannonier
Reyes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
71
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Cannonier
Reyes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
70%
7
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cannonier
Reyes
Striking7.5 / 7.3Volume4.0 / 3.7Grappling0.9 / 1.5Wrestling0.6 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 1.0Pressure6.1 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Cannonier
Strike Zones
Reyes
Cannonier
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD5BODY8LEGS20 absorbed
Reyes
Attacking
7HEAD5BODY8LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cannonier targets the head (67% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Reyes targets the legs (40% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cannonier
RND
Reyes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cannonier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0101.5L5.0W4.8W5.9L5.5W6.1L2.5L5.2W5.0W6.1W6.4L4.8W5.5W6.9L5.6W5.3W4.8L6.9L7.0W6.3L2015-012017-122020-102023-062025-08
WinLossTrend

Reyes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.0W6.0W5.1W5.3W5.8W7.3L2.7L3.8L1.9L6.4W6.4W6.2W3.4L5.3W2017-062019-032021-052025-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Cannonier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

Reyes · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R2
Anthony SmithRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

News & Media

Jared Cannonier · Dominick Reyes
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